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Condercet pairs - from the 2002 Meath, Dublin North and Dublin West electronic results

There is an electoral system known as Condorcet which, though widely discussed, is not used by any country for significant elections. In this system, voters mark their ballots in the same way as STV - by ranking the candidates in their order of choice. The Condercet system works by generating a matrix in which each candidate is individually compared to every other candidate. For example, voting 1A, 2B, 3C is telling the Condorcet system that "I prefer A to B, I prefer A to C and I prefer B to C". This page does not go into the details of the Condorcet system, but it does contain a Condorcet matrix for each of 3 constituencies for which electronic voting was used in 2002. The ballot files produced by the electronic system is available on the internet.

Note: the ballot files were produced by an electronic voting system without a proper audit trail. There is no way of confirming that the ballots are actually correct. This page is based on the unproven assumption that the results are accurate.

There are some interesting features to the matrices.

It is clear that there was a significant antipathy to Sinn Féin amongst voters in all 3 constituencies. When choosing between 2 candidates, voters almost always preferred the candidate with the highest number of first preferences. This did not hold true when Sinn Féin was concerned - candidates with significantly lower preferences were preferred to the Sinn Féin candidate in all 3 constituencies. In general, voters seemed to find the other main parties, from the PDs to the far-left Socialist party, significantly more acceptable than Sinn Féin.

The matrices below also show not just the percentage of first preference votes a candidate received, but also the number of times a candidate received any preference (other than the final preference). Again, this shows that the Sinn Féin candidates received significantly fewer lower preferences than candidates with comparable first preference votes.

In general, the successful candidates were those who were preferred most in one-to-one comparisons. The only exception to this was the third Fianna Fáil candidate in the 4-seat Dublin North constituency, Michael Kennedy, who was preferred against all but 2 candidates but who failed to be elected.

Naturally enough, the more popular the candidate, the more likely it was for voters to express a preference for or against them. In Meath, more voters chose between Dempsey and Bruton (80.98%) than between any other 2 candidates. In Dublin North, more voters chose between Sargent and Kennedy (86.40%) while in Dublin West the most commonly expressed preference was between Lenihan and Higgins (87.89%). In all 3 constituencies the least-used comparison was between the 2 candidates with the lowest first-preference votes. Only 13.68% of voters expressed a preference between Colwell and Redmond, the 2 lowest-place candidates in Meath.

The format of the matrices is as follows:-
1. candidates are listed in first preference sequence
2. the left-most column contains the candidate name, party, first preference vote and (in brackets), the percentage of votes containing any preference for the candidate other than the last preference
3. each column in the table compares the candidate in the left-most column against the candidate in the top-most row. The percentage favouring each candidate, the percentage margin and the percentage who expressed a preference between the 2 candidates is shown
4. where the left-most candidate is preferred the column is shown with a green background and where the top-most candidate is preferred a red background is used
5. the following is an example of an entry in the matrix:-
Dempsey 46.93%
Bruton 34.05%
Margin 12.88%
From 80.98% 		This example to the left shows that 46.93% of voters preferred Noel Dempsey to John Bruton while 34.05% preferred John Bruton to Noel Dempsey. There was a margin of 12.88% in favour of Noel Dempsey. In total, 80.98% of voters expressed a preference between the two.


The following is the Meath matrix. The candidates elected in Meath were Dempsey, Wallace, Brady, Bruton and English. The Dublin North and Dublin West matrices follow below.
Candidate Dempsey Wallace Brady Bruton Reilly English Farrelly Fitzgerald Ward O' Byrne Kelly O' Brien Colwell Redmond
Dempsey
Noel
F.F.
18.00% (56.08%)		 .. Dempsey 37.94%
Wallace 28.27%
Margin 9.67%
From 66.22% 		Dempsey 39.69%
Brady 24.49%
Margin 15.20%
From 64.18% 		Dempsey 46.93%
Bruton 34.05%
Margin 12.88%
From 80.98% 		Dempsey 49.72%
Reilly 20.14%
Margin 29.59%
From 69.86% 		Dempsey 47.24%
English 33.13%
Margin 14.11%
From 80.37% 		Dempsey 50.18%
Farrelly 25.36%
Margin 24.82%
From 75.54% 		Dempsey 49.94%
Fitzgerald 20.77%
Margin 29.17%
From 70.71% 		Dempsey 50.55%
Ward 22.71%
Margin 27.84%
From 73.25% 		Dempsey 51.54%
O' Byrne 18.42%
Margin 33.13%
From 69.96% 		Dempsey 53.03%
Kelly 10.96%
Margin 42.06%
From 63.99% 		Dempsey 53.45%
O' Brien 10.75%
Margin 42.70%
From 64.20% 		Dempsey 54.55%
Colwell 5.43%
Margin 49.12%
From 59.97% 		Dempsey 55.03%
Redmond 3.10%
Margin 51.92%
From 58.13%
Wallace
Mary
F.F.
13.67% (52.80%)		 Wallace 28.27%
Dempsey 37.94%
Margin -9.67%
From 66.22% 		.. Wallace 34.73%
Brady 28.55%
Margin 6.18%
From 63.28% 		Wallace 42.88%
Bruton 35.91%
Margin 6.97%
From 78.79% 		Wallace 46.35%
Reilly 22.13%
Margin 24.21%
From 68.48% 		Wallace 44.01%
English 35.20%
Margin 8.81%
From 79.20% 		Wallace 46.62%
Farrelly 26.64%
Margin 19.97%
From 73.26% 		Wallace 46.01%
Fitzgerald 21.03%
Margin 24.98%
From 67.04% 		Wallace 47.29%
Ward 23.31%
Margin 23.98%
From 70.60% 		Wallace 47.31%
O' Byrne 19.13%
Margin 28.18%
From 66.43% 		Wallace 49.15%
Kelly 10.84%
Margin 38.31%
From 59.99% 		Wallace 49.37%
O' Brien 10.71%
Margin 38.66%
From 60.09% 		Wallace 51.19%
Colwell 5.39%
Margin 45.80%
From 56.58% 		Wallace 51.48%
Redmond 3.24%
Margin 48.23%
From 54.72%
Brady
Johnny
F.F.
13.25% (47.81%)		 Brady 24.49%
Dempsey 39.69%
Margin -15.20%
From 64.18% 		Brady 28.55%
Wallace 34.73%
Margin -6.18%
From 63.28% 		.. Brady 39.25%
Bruton 38.16%
Margin 1.09%
From 77.41% 		Brady 41.97%
Reilly 21.33%
Margin 20.64%
From 63.30% 		Brady 39.84%
English 35.57%
Margin 4.28%
From 75.41% 		Brady 41.72%
Farrelly 25.85%
Margin 15.87%
From 67.58% 		Brady 42.47%
Fitzgerald 22.96%
Margin 19.50%
From 65.43% 		Brady 42.59%
Ward 25.30%
Margin 17.29%
From 67.89% 		Brady 43.42%
O' Byrne 20.38%
Margin 23.04%
From 63.80% 		Brady 44.88%
Kelly 11.87%
Margin 33.01%
From 56.76% 		Brady 44.99%
O' Brien 11.48%
Margin 33.50%
From 56.47% 		Brady 46.05%
Colwell 5.63%
Margin 40.42%
From 51.68% 		Brady 46.68%
Redmond 3.27%
Margin 43.42%
From 49.95%
Bruton
John
F.G.
11.89% (46.94%)		 Bruton 34.05%
Dempsey 46.93%
Margin -12.88%
From 80.98% 		Bruton 35.91%
Wallace 42.88%
Margin -6.97%
From 78.79% 		Bruton 38.16%
Brady 39.25%
Margin -1.09%
From 77.41% 		.. Bruton 41.37%
Reilly 23.25%
Margin 18.12%
From 64.62% 		Bruton 32.74%
English 26.23%
Margin 6.51%
From 58.98% 		Bruton 37.23%
Farrelly 16.49%
Margin 20.73%
From 53.72% 		Bruton 39.32%
Fitzgerald 19.65%
Margin 19.67%
From 58.97% 		Bruton 39.62%
Ward 18.33%
Margin 21.30%
From 57.95% 		Bruton 41.25%
O' Byrne 16.52%
Margin 24.73%
From 57.77% 		Bruton 43.69%
Kelly 9.39%
Margin 34.30%
From 53.08% 		Bruton 43.78%
O' Brien 9.16%
Margin 34.62%
From 52.95% 		Bruton 45.29%
Colwell 4.74%
Margin 40.55%
From 50.03% 		Bruton 45.97%
Redmond 2.48%
Margin 43.49%
From 48.45%
Reilly
Joe
S.F.
9.43% (30.22%)		 Reilly 20.14%
Dempsey 49.72%
Margin -29.59%
From 69.86% 		Reilly 22.13%
Wallace 46.35%
Margin -24.21%
From 68.48% 		Reilly 21.33%
Brady 41.97%
Margin -20.64%
From 63.30% 		Reilly 23.25%
Bruton 41.37%
Margin -18.12%
From 64.62% 		.. Reilly 22.62%
English 39.04%
Margin -16.42%
From 61.65% 		Reilly 24.89%
Farrelly 30.37%
Margin -5.48%
From 55.25% 		Reilly 25.02%
Fitzgerald 26.10%
Margin -1.07%
From 51.12% 		Reilly 25.18%
Ward 26.13%
Margin -0.95%
From 51.31% 		Reilly 25.46%
O' Byrne 22.05%
Margin 3.41%
From 47.50% 		Reilly 27.18%
Kelly 13.64%
Margin 13.55%
From 40.82% 		Reilly 27.08%
O' Brien 12.91%
Margin 14.17%
From 39.98% 		Reilly 28.65%
Colwell 6.76%
Margin 21.89%
From 35.41% 		Reilly 28.78%
Redmond 4.73%
Margin 24.06%
From 33.51%
English
Damien
F.G.
9.30% (45.01%)		 English 33.13%
Dempsey 47.24%
Margin -14.11%
From 80.37% 		English 35.20%
Wallace 44.01%
Margin -8.81%
From 79.20% 		English 35.57%
Brady 39.84%
Margin -4.28%
From 75.41% 		English 26.23%
Bruton 32.74%
Margin -6.51%
From 58.98% 		English 39.04%
Reilly 22.62%
Margin 16.42%
From 61.65% 		.. English 34.71%
Farrelly 18.23%
Margin 16.48%
From 52.95% 		English 38.35%
Fitzgerald 20.16%
Margin 18.19%
From 58.50% 		English 37.44%
Ward 18.49%
Margin 18.95%
From 55.94% 		English 39.28%
O' Byrne 16.53%
Margin 22.75%
From 55.82% 		English 41.81%
Kelly 9.99%
Margin 31.82%
From 51.80% 		English 41.92%
O' Brien 9.41%
Margin 32.51%
From 51.32% 		English 43.29%
Colwell 4.57%
Margin 38.72%
From 47.86% 		English 43.93%
Redmond 2.63%
Margin 41.30%
From 46.55%
Farrelly
John V
F.G.
6.05% (34.88%)		 Farrelly 25.36%
Dempsey 50.18%
Margin -24.82%
From 75.54% 		Farrelly 26.64%
Wallace 46.62%
Margin -19.97%
From 73.26% 		Farrelly 25.85%
Brady 41.72%
Margin -15.87%
From 67.58% 		Farrelly 16.49%
Bruton 37.23%
Margin -20.73%
From 53.72% 		Farrelly 30.37%
Reilly 24.89%
Margin 5.48%
From 55.25% 		Farrelly 18.23%
English 34.71%
Margin -16.48%
From 52.95% 		.. Farrelly 28.74%
Fitzgerald 23.37%
Margin 5.37%
From 52.11% 		Farrelly 27.80%
Ward 22.68%
Margin 5.12%
From 50.49% 		Farrelly 29.59%
O' Byrne 19.92%
Margin 9.67%
From 49.51% 		Farrelly 31.61%
Kelly 11.38%
Margin 20.23%
From 42.99% 		Farrelly 31.64%
O' Brien 11.04%
Margin 20.60%
From 42.68% 		Farrelly 33.00%
Colwell 5.59%
Margin 27.40%
From 38.59% 		Farrelly 33.69%
Redmond 3.17%
Margin 30.52%
From 36.86%
Fitzgerald
Brian
Non-P
5.81% (31.84%)		 Fitzgerald 20.77%
Dempsey 49.94%
Margin -29.17%
From 70.71% 		Fitzgerald 21.03%
Wallace 46.01%
Margin -24.98%
From 67.04% 		Fitzgerald 22.96%
Brady 42.47%
Margin -19.50%
From 65.43% 		Fitzgerald 19.65%
Bruton 39.32%
Margin -19.67%
From 58.97% 		Fitzgerald 26.10%
Reilly 25.02%
Margin 1.07%
From 51.12% 		Fitzgerald 20.16%
English 38.35%
Margin -18.19%
From 58.50% 		Fitzgerald 23.37%
Farrelly 28.74%
Margin -5.37%
From 52.11% 		.. Fitzgerald 23.25%
Ward 25.19%
Margin -1.95%
From 48.44% 		Fitzgerald 25.22%
O' Byrne 20.48%
Margin 4.74%
From 45.71% 		Fitzgerald 27.76%
Kelly 10.61%
Margin 17.15%
From 38.37% 		Fitzgerald 28.00%
O' Brien 9.70%
Margin 18.30%
From 37.71% 		Fitzgerald 29.68%
Colwell 4.77%
Margin 24.91%
From 34.46% 		Fitzgerald 30.67%
Redmond 2.73%
Margin 27.93%
From 33.40%
Ward
Peter
Lab
4.26% (33.62%)		 Ward 22.71%
Dempsey 50.55%
Margin -27.84%
From 73.25% 		Ward 23.31%
Wallace 47.29%
Margin -23.98%
From 70.60% 		Ward 25.30%
Brady 42.59%
Margin -17.29%
From 67.89% 		Ward 18.33%
Bruton 39.62%
Margin -21.30%
From 57.95% 		Ward 26.13%
Reilly 25.18%
Margin 0.95%
From 51.31% 		Ward 18.49%
English 37.44%
Margin -18.95%
From 55.94% 		Ward 22.68%
Farrelly 27.80%
Margin -5.12%
From 50.49% 		Ward 25.19%
Fitzgerald 23.25%
Margin 1.95%
From 48.44% 		.. Ward 25.49%
O' Byrne 19.05%
Margin 6.44%
From 44.54% 		Ward 29.42%
Kelly 11.18%
Margin 18.24%
From 40.60% 		Ward 29.66%
O' Brien 10.54%
Margin 19.12%
From 40.21% 		Ward 31.88%
Colwell 4.75%
Margin 27.14%
From 36.63% 		Ward 32.18%
Redmond 3.19%
Margin 28.98%
From 35.37%
O' Byrne
Fergal
G.P.
3.65% (28.32%)		 O' Byrne 18.42%
Dempsey 51.54%
Margin -33.13%
From 69.96% 		O' Byrne 19.13%
Wallace 47.31%
Margin -28.18%
From 66.43% 		O' Byrne 20.38%
Brady 43.42%
Margin -23.04%
From 63.80% 		O' Byrne 16.52%
Bruton 41.25%
Margin -24.73%
From 57.77% 		O' Byrne 22.05%
Reilly 25.46%
Margin -3.41%
From 47.50% 		O' Byrne 16.53%
English 39.28%
Margin -22.75%
From 55.82% 		O' Byrne 19.92%
Farrelly 29.59%
Margin -9.67%
From 49.51% 		O' Byrne 20.48%
Fitzgerald 25.22%
Margin -4.74%
From 45.71% 		O' Byrne 19.05%
Ward 25.49%
Margin -6.44%
From 44.54% 		.. O' Byrne 23.52%
Kelly 11.98%
Margin 11.54%
From 35.51% 		O' Byrne 23.55%
O' Brien 10.87%
Margin 12.67%
From 34.42% 		O' Byrne 26.22%
Colwell 4.82%
Margin 21.39%
From 31.04% 		O' Byrne 27.18%
Redmond 2.59%
Margin 24.59%
From 29.77%
Kelly
Tom
Non-P
2.14% (18.27%)		 Kelly 10.96%
Dempsey 53.03%
Margin -42.06%
From 63.99% 		Kelly 10.84%
Wallace 49.15%
Margin -38.31%
From 59.99% 		Kelly 11.87%
Brady 44.88%
Margin -33.01%
From 56.76% 		Kelly 9.39%
Bruton 43.69%
Margin -34.30%
From 53.08% 		Kelly 13.64%
Reilly 27.18%
Margin -13.55%
From 40.82% 		Kelly 9.99%
English 41.81%
Margin -31.82%
From 51.80% 		Kelly 11.38%
Farrelly 31.61%
Margin -20.23%
From 42.99% 		Kelly 10.61%
Fitzgerald 27.76%
Margin -17.15%
From 38.37% 		Kelly 11.18%
Ward 29.42%
Margin -18.24%
From 40.60% 		Kelly 11.98%
O' Byrne 23.52%
Margin -11.54%
From 35.51% 		.. Kelly 13.32%
O' Brien 11.12%
Margin 2.20%
From 24.44% 		Kelly 15.58%
Colwell 6.10%
Margin 9.49%
From 21.68% 		Kelly 16.79%
Redmond 3.38%
Margin 13.41%
From 20.17%
O' Brien
Pat
Non-P
1.87% (17.61%)		 O' Brien 10.75%
Dempsey 53.45%
Margin -42.70%
From 64.20% 		O' Brien 10.71%
Wallace 49.37%
Margin -38.66%
From 60.09% 		O' Brien 11.48%
Brady 44.99%
Margin -33.50%
From 56.47% 		O' Brien 9.16%
Bruton 43.78%
Margin -34.62%
From 52.95% 		O' Brien 12.91%
Reilly 27.08%
Margin -14.17%
From 39.98% 		O' Brien 9.41%
English 41.92%
Margin -32.51%
From 51.32% 		O' Brien 11.04%
Farrelly 31.64%
Margin -20.60%
From 42.68% 		O' Brien 9.70%
Fitzgerald 28.00%
Margin -18.30%
From 37.71% 		O' Brien 10.54%
Ward 29.66%
Margin -19.12%
From 40.21% 		O' Brien 10.87%
O' Byrne 23.55%
Margin -12.67%
From 34.42% 		O' Brien 11.12%
Kelly 13.32%
Margin -2.20%
From 24.44% 		.. O' Brien 14.70%
Colwell 6.13%
Margin 8.57%
From 20.83% 		O' Brien 16.12%
Redmond 3.35%
Margin 12.76%
From 19.47%
Colwell
Jane
Non-P
0.41% (10.33%)		 Colwell 5.43%
Dempsey 54.55%
Margin -49.12%
From 59.97% 		Colwell 5.39%
Wallace 51.19%
Margin -45.80%
From 56.58% 		Colwell 5.63%
Brady 46.05%
Margin -40.42%
From 51.68% 		Colwell 4.74%
Bruton 45.29%
Margin -40.55%
From 50.03% 		Colwell 6.76%
Reilly 28.65%
Margin -21.89%
From 35.41% 		Colwell 4.57%
English 43.29%
Margin -38.72%
From 47.86% 		Colwell 5.59%
Farrelly 33.00%
Margin -27.40%
From 38.59% 		Colwell 4.77%
Fitzgerald 29.68%
Margin -24.91%
From 34.46% 		Colwell 4.75%
Ward 31.88%
Margin -27.14%
From 36.63% 		Colwell 4.82%
O' Byrne 26.22%
Margin -21.39%
From 31.04% 		Colwell 6.10%
Kelly 15.58%
Margin -9.49%
From 21.68% 		Colwell 6.13%
O' Brien 14.70%
Margin -8.57%
From 20.83% 		.. Colwell 8.72%
Redmond 4.96%
Margin 3.76%
From 13.68%
Redmond
Michael
C.C. CSP
0.28% (7.58%)		 Redmond 3.10%
Dempsey 55.03%
Margin -51.92%
From 58.13% 		Redmond 3.24%
Wallace 51.48%
Margin -48.23%
From 54.72% 		Redmond 3.27%
Brady 46.68%
Margin -43.42%
From 49.95% 		Redmond 2.48%
Bruton 45.97%
Margin -43.49%
From 48.45% 		Redmond 4.73%
Reilly 28.78%
Margin -24.06%
From 33.51% 		Redmond 2.63%
English 43.93%
Margin -41.30%
From 46.55% 		Redmond 3.17%
Farrelly 33.69%
Margin -30.52%
From 36.86% 		Redmond 2.73%
Fitzgerald 30.67%
Margin -27.93%
From 33.40% 		Redmond 3.19%
Ward 32.18%
Margin -28.98%
From 35.37% 		Redmond 2.59%
O' Byrne 27.18%
Margin -24.59%
From 29.77% 		Redmond 3.38%
Kelly 16.79%
Margin -13.41%
From 20.17% 		Redmond 3.35%
O' Brien 16.12%
Margin -12.76%
From 19.47% 		Redmond 4.96%
Colwell 8.72%
Margin -3.76%
From 13.68% 		..


The following is the Dublin North matrix.
The candidates elected in Dublin North were Sargent, Ryan, Glennon and Wright.
Candidate Sargent Ryan Glennon Wright Daly Kennedy Owen Davis Boland Goulding Quinn Walshe
Sargent
Trevor
G.P.
16.60% (65.72%)		 .. Sargent 42.44%
Ryan 36.25%
Margin 6.20%
From 78.69% 		Sargent 49.33%
Glennon 36.43%
Margin 12.90%
From 85.75% 		Sargent 51.55%
Wright 34.35%
Margin 17.20%
From 85.90% 		Sargent 49.81%
Daly 27.55%
Margin 22.26%
From 77.36% 		Sargent 50.07%
Kennedy 36.33%
Margin 13.74%
From 86.40% 		Sargent 50.93%
Owen 22.70%
Margin 28.23%
From 73.63% 		Sargent 60.65%
Davis 10.41%
Margin 50.24%
From 71.06% 		Sargent 56.74%
Boland 14.64%
Margin 42.10%
From 71.38% 		Sargent 60.54%
Goulding 9.57%
Margin 50.97%
From 70.12% 		Sargent 62.87%
Quinn 5.28%
Margin 57.59%
From 68.16% 		Sargent 64.26%
Walshe 3.03%
Margin 61.23%
From 67.29%
Ryan
Seán
Lab
14.47% (58.08%)		 Ryan 36.25%
Sargent 42.44%
Margin -6.20%
From 78.69% 		.. Ryan 43.18%
Glennon 39.03%
Margin 4.14%
From 82.21% 		Ryan 45.56%
Wright 36.47%
Margin 9.09%
From 82.04% 		Ryan 43.10%
Daly 29.36%
Margin 13.74%
From 72.47% 		Ryan 43.86%
Kennedy 38.21%
Margin 5.65%
From 82.07% 		Ryan 43.61%
Owen 25.31%
Margin 18.29%
From 68.92% 		Ryan 53.51%
Davis 11.47%
Margin 42.05%
From 64.98% 		Ryan 48.55%
Boland 16.77%
Margin 31.79%
From 65.32% 		Ryan 52.59%
Goulding 12.14%
Margin 40.44%
From 64.73% 		Ryan 54.79%
Quinn 7.32%
Margin 47.48%
From 62.11% 		Ryan 56.15%
Walshe 4.59%
Margin 51.56%
From 60.74%
Glennon
Jim
F.F.
13.41% (52.71%)		 Glennon 36.43%
Sargent 49.33%
Margin -12.90%
From 85.75% 		Glennon 39.03%
Ryan 43.18%
Margin -4.14%
From 82.21% 		.. Glennon 32.84%
Wright 31.00%
Margin 1.83%
From 63.84% 		Glennon 42.19%
Daly 36.05%
Margin 6.14%
From 78.24% 		Glennon 31.97%
Kennedy 32.29%
Margin -0.32%
From 64.26% 		Glennon 43.11%
Owen 31.12%
Margin 11.99%
From 74.23% 		Glennon 48.58%
Davis 13.52%
Margin 35.06%
From 62.10% 		Glennon 45.31%
Boland 22.45%
Margin 22.86%
From 67.75% 		Glennon 47.29%
Goulding 17.82%
Margin 29.47%
From 65.11% 		Glennon 49.21%
Quinn 10.34%
Margin 38.86%
From 59.55% 		Glennon 49.74%
Walshe 7.48%
Margin 42.26%
From 57.22%
Wright
G.V.
F.F.
12.88% (50.94%)		 Wright 34.35%
Sargent 51.55%
Margin -17.20%
From 85.90% 		Wright 36.47%
Ryan 45.56%
Margin -9.09%
From 82.04% 		Wright 31.00%
Glennon 32.84%
Margin -1.83%
From 63.84% 		.. Wright 39.87%
Daly 36.92%
Margin 2.95%
From 76.78% 		Wright 29.61%
Kennedy 31.95%
Margin -2.34%
From 61.56% 		Wright 41.22%
Owen 31.24%
Margin 9.98%
From 72.46% 		Wright 46.70%
Davis 13.77%
Margin 32.93%
From 60.48% 		Wright 43.64%
Boland 23.52%
Margin 20.13%
From 67.16% 		Wright 45.63%
Goulding 18.61%
Margin 27.02%
From 64.24% 		Wright 47.24%
Quinn 11.02%
Margin 36.22%
From 58.26% 		Wright 47.64%
Walshe 7.97%
Margin 39.67%
From 55.61%
Daly
Clare
S.P.
12.52% (48.65%)		 Daly 27.55%
Sargent 49.81%
Margin -22.26%
From 77.36% 		Daly 29.36%
Ryan 43.10%
Margin -13.74%
From 72.47% 		Daly 36.05%
Glennon 42.19%
Margin -6.14%
From 78.24% 		Daly 36.92%
Wright 39.87%
Margin -2.95%
From 76.78% 		.. Daly 36.01%
Kennedy 40.50%
Margin -4.50%
From 76.51% 		Daly 37.06%
Owen 31.06%
Margin 6.00%
From 68.12% 		Daly 43.71%
Davis 10.65%
Margin 33.06%
From 54.35% 		Daly 40.48%
Boland 22.29%
Margin 18.19%
From 62.77% 		Daly 42.82%
Goulding 13.74%
Margin 29.09%
From 56.56% 		Daly 45.32%
Quinn 7.53%
Margin 37.78%
From 52.85% 		Daly 46.13%
Walshe 5.53%
Margin 40.60%
From 51.67%
Kennedy
Michael
F.F.
11.95% (51.48%)		 Kennedy 36.33%
Sargent 50.07%
Margin -13.74%
From 86.40% 		Kennedy 38.21%
Ryan 43.86%
Margin -5.65%
From 82.07% 		Kennedy 32.29%
Glennon 31.97%
Margin 0.32%
From 64.26% 		Kennedy 31.95%
Wright 29.61%
Margin 2.34%
From 61.56% 		Kennedy 40.50%
Daly 36.01%
Margin 4.50%
From 76.51% 		.. Kennedy 42.26%
Owen 31.46%
Margin 10.80%
From 73.73% 		Kennedy 47.19%
Davis 13.67%
Margin 33.52%
From 60.86% 		Kennedy 44.38%
Boland 23.57%
Margin 20.81%
From 67.95% 		Kennedy 46.27%
Goulding 18.52%
Margin 27.75%
From 64.78% 		Kennedy 48.07%
Quinn 10.86%
Margin 37.20%
From 58.93% 		Kennedy 48.46%
Walshe 7.75%
Margin 40.71%
From 56.22%
Owen
Nora
F.G.
9.13% (43.12%)		 Owen 22.70%
Sargent 50.93%
Margin -28.23%
From 73.63% 		Owen 25.31%
Ryan 43.61%
Margin -18.29%
From 68.92% 		Owen 31.12%
Glennon 43.11%
Margin -11.99%
From 74.23% 		Owen 31.24%
Wright 41.22%
Margin -9.98%
From 72.46% 		Owen 31.06%
Daly 37.06%
Margin -6.00%
From 68.12% 		Owen 31.46%
Kennedy 42.26%
Margin -10.80%
From 73.73% 		.. Owen 39.15%
Davis 15.41%
Margin 23.74%
From 54.56% 		Owen 34.47%
Boland 15.34%
Margin 19.13%
From 49.81% 		Owen 36.99%
Goulding 17.00%
Margin 19.98%
From 53.99% 		Owen 39.42%
Quinn 10.26%
Margin 29.17%
From 49.68% 		Owen 40.17%
Walshe 7.18%
Margin 32.99%
From 47.34%
Davis
Mick
S.F.
3.07% (21.62%)		 Davis 10.41%
Sargent 60.65%
Margin -50.24%
From 71.06% 		Davis 11.47%
Ryan 53.51%
Margin -42.05%
From 64.98% 		Davis 13.52%
Glennon 48.58%
Margin -35.06%
From 62.10% 		Davis 13.77%
Wright 46.70%
Margin -32.93%
From 60.48% 		Davis 10.65%
Daly 43.71%
Margin -33.06%
From 54.35% 		Davis 13.67%
Kennedy 47.19%
Margin -33.52%
From 60.86% 		Davis 15.41%
Owen 39.15%
Margin -23.74%
From 54.56% 		.. Davis 16.30%
Boland 30.03%
Margin -13.73%
From 46.32% 		Davis 16.57%
Goulding 22.12%
Margin -5.56%
From 38.69% 		Davis 17.87%
Quinn 14.04%
Margin 3.83%
From 31.91% 		Davis 18.36%
Walshe 10.92%
Margin 7.44%
From 29.28%
Boland
Cathal
F.G.
2.68% (34.23%)		 Boland 14.64%
Sargent 56.74%
Margin -42.10%
From 71.38% 		Boland 16.77%
Ryan 48.55%
Margin -31.79%
From 65.32% 		Boland 22.45%
Glennon 45.31%
Margin -22.86%
From 67.75% 		Boland 23.52%
Wright 43.64%
Margin -20.13%
From 67.16% 		Boland 22.29%
Daly 40.48%
Margin -18.19%
From 62.77% 		Boland 23.57%
Kennedy 44.38%
Margin -20.81%
From 67.95% 		Boland 15.34%
Owen 34.47%
Margin -19.13%
From 49.81% 		Boland 30.03%
Davis 16.30%
Margin 13.73%
From 46.32% 		.. Boland 28.12%
Goulding 18.84%
Margin 9.28%
From 46.96% 		Boland 30.24%
Quinn 11.19%
Margin 19.05%
From 41.43% 		Boland 30.97%
Walshe 7.99%
Margin 22.98%
From 38.97%
Goulding
Ciaran
Non-P
2.08% (27.73%)		 Goulding 9.57%
Sargent 60.54%
Margin -50.97%
From 70.12% 		Goulding 12.14%
Ryan 52.59%
Margin -40.44%
From 64.73% 		Goulding 17.82%
Glennon 47.29%
Margin -29.47%
From 65.11% 		Goulding 18.61%
Wright 45.63%
Margin -27.02%
From 64.24% 		Goulding 13.74%
Daly 42.82%
Margin -29.09%
From 56.56% 		Goulding 18.52%
Kennedy 46.27%
Margin -27.75%
From 64.78% 		Goulding 17.00%
Owen 36.99%
Margin -19.98%
From 53.99% 		Goulding 22.12%
Davis 16.57%
Margin 5.56%
From 38.69% 		Goulding 18.84%
Boland 28.12%
Margin -9.28%
From 46.96% 		.. Goulding 22.33%
Quinn 11.15%
Margin 11.18%
From 33.48% 		Goulding 23.52%
Walshe 8.68%
Margin 14.83%
From 32.20%
Quinn
Eamonn
Non-P
0.65% (19.89%)		 Quinn 5.28%
Sargent 62.87%
Margin -57.59%
From 68.16% 		Quinn 7.32%
Ryan 54.79%
Margin -47.48%
From 62.11% 		Quinn 10.34%
Glennon 49.21%
Margin -38.86%
From 59.55% 		Quinn 11.02%
Wright 47.24%
Margin -36.22%
From 58.26% 		Quinn 7.53%
Daly 45.32%
Margin -37.78%
From 52.85% 		Quinn 10.86%
Kennedy 48.07%
Margin -37.20%
From 58.93% 		Quinn 10.26%
Owen 39.42%
Margin -29.17%
From 49.68% 		Quinn 14.04%
Davis 17.87%
Margin -3.83%
From 31.91% 		Quinn 11.19%
Boland 30.24%
Margin -19.05%
From 41.43% 		Quinn 11.15%
Goulding 22.33%
Margin -11.18%
From 33.48% 		.. Quinn 15.42%
Walshe 9.27%
Margin 6.15%
From 24.69%
Walshe
David Henry
C.C. CSP
0.56% (15.74%)		 Walshe 3.03%
Sargent 64.26%
Margin -61.23%
From 67.29% 		Walshe 4.59%
Ryan 56.15%
Margin -51.56%
From 60.74% 		Walshe 7.48%
Glennon 49.74%
Margin -42.26%
From 57.22% 		Walshe 7.97%
Wright 47.64%
Margin -39.67%
From 55.61% 		Walshe 5.53%
Daly 46.13%
Margin -40.60%
From 51.67% 		Walshe 7.75%
Kennedy 48.46%
Margin -40.71%
From 56.22% 		Walshe 7.18%
Owen 40.17%
Margin -32.99%
From 47.34% 		Walshe 10.92%
Davis 18.36%
Margin -7.44%
From 29.28% 		Walshe 7.99%
Boland 30.97%
Margin -22.98%
From 38.97% 		Walshe 8.68%
Goulding 23.52%
Margin -14.83%
From 32.20% 		Walshe 9.27%
Quinn 15.42%
Margin -6.15%
From 24.69% 		..


The following is the Dublin West matrix.
The candidates elected in Dublin West were Lenihan, Higgins and Burton.
Candidate Lenihan Higgins Burton Terry Mc Donald Morrissey Doherty Ryan Bonnie Smyth
Lenihan
Brian
F.F.
26.96% (63.19%)		 .. Lenihan 46.35%
Higgins 41.54%
Margin 4.81%
From 87.89% 		Lenihan 47.85%
Burton 38.21%
Margin 9.64%
From 86.06% 		Lenihan 50.20%
Terry 31.93%
Margin 18.27%
From 82.13% 		Lenihan 55.87%
Mc Donald 22.31%
Margin 33.56%
From 78.17% 		Lenihan 50.62%
Morrissey 25.71%
Margin 24.91%
From 76.33% 		Lenihan 51.56%
Doherty Ryan 17.80%
Margin 33.77%
From 69.36% 		Lenihan 56.12%
Bonnie 22.36%
Margin 33.75%
From 78.48% 		Lenihan 61.10%
Smyth 6.11%
Margin 54.99%
From 67.22%
Higgins
Joe
S.P.
21.48% (59.99%)		 Higgins 41.54%
Lenihan 46.35%
Margin -4.81%
From 87.89% 		.. Higgins 40.60%
Burton 38.33%
Margin 2.28%
From 78.93% 		Higgins 45.50%
Terry 33.59%
Margin 11.91%
From 79.09% 		Higgins 51.47%
Mc Donald 17.38%
Margin 34.08%
From 68.85% 		Higgins 47.71%
Morrissey 33.04%
Margin 14.67%
From 80.75% 		Higgins 47.39%
Doherty Ryan 34.63%
Margin 12.76%
From 82.01% 		Higgins 52.21%
Bonnie 17.28%
Margin 34.94%
From 69.49% 		Higgins 58.09%
Smyth 4.47%
Margin 53.62%
From 62.56%
Burton
Joan
Lab
12.71% (60.30%)		 Burton 38.21%
Lenihan 47.85%
Margin -9.64%
From 86.06% 		Burton 38.33%
Higgins 40.60%
Margin -2.28%
From 78.93% 		.. Burton 41.43%
Terry 29.84%
Margin 11.59%
From 71.27% 		Burton 51.33%
Mc Donald 22.50%
Margin 28.83%
From 73.83% 		Burton 44.70%
Morrissey 30.17%
Margin 14.53%
From 74.86% 		Burton 45.32%
Doherty Ryan 35.48%
Margin 9.84%
From 80.81% 		Burton 52.40%
Bonnie 16.71%
Margin 35.69%
From 69.11% 		Burton 58.29%
Smyth 4.55%
Margin 53.74%
From 62.84%
Terry
Sheila
F.G.
12.32% (52.57%)		 Terry 31.93%
Lenihan 50.20%
Margin -18.27%
From 82.13% 		Terry 33.59%
Higgins 45.50%
Margin -11.91%
From 79.09% 		Terry 29.84%
Burton 41.43%
Margin -11.59%
From 71.27% 		.. Terry 44.35%
Mc Donald 26.43%
Margin 17.92%
From 70.78% 		Terry 35.41%
Morrissey 33.25%
Margin 2.16%
From 68.65% 		Terry 38.46%
Doherty Ryan 37.34%
Margin 1.12%
From 75.80% 		Terry 43.46%
Bonnie 21.86%
Margin 21.60%
From 65.33% 		Terry 49.91%
Smyth 6.11%
Margin 43.80%
From 56.02%
Mc Donald
Mary Lou
S.F.
8.02% (36.34%)		 Mc Donald 22.31%
Lenihan 55.87%
Margin -33.56%
From 78.17% 		Mc Donald 17.38%
Higgins 51.47%
Margin -34.08%
From 68.85% 		Mc Donald 22.50%
Burton 51.33%
Margin -28.83%
From 73.83% 		Mc Donald 26.43%
Terry 44.35%
Margin -17.92%
From 70.78% 		.. Mc Donald 27.29%
Morrissey 43.01%
Margin -15.72%
From 70.30% 		Mc Donald 25.65%
Doherty Ryan 42.32%
Margin -16.66%
From 67.97% 		Mc Donald 28.63%
Bonnie 28.09%
Margin 0.54%
From 56.73% 		Mc Donald 34.44%
Smyth 8.91%
Margin 25.54%
From 43.35%
Morrissey
Tom
P.D.
7.90% (51.37%)		 Morrissey 25.71%
Lenihan 50.62%
Margin -24.91%
From 76.33% 		Morrissey 33.04%
Higgins 47.71%
Margin -14.67%
From 80.75% 		Morrissey 30.17%
Burton 44.70%
Margin -14.53%
From 74.86% 		Morrissey 33.25%
Terry 35.41%
Margin -2.16%
From 68.65% 		Morrissey 43.01%
Mc Donald 27.29%
Margin 15.72%
From 70.30% 		.. Morrissey 33.43%
Doherty Ryan 36.29%
Margin -2.86%
From 69.71% 		Morrissey 41.94%
Bonnie 23.35%
Margin 18.59%
From 65.29% 		Morrissey 49.22%
Smyth 5.49%
Margin 43.73%
From 54.71%
Doherty Ryan
Deirdre
F.F.
7.67% (50.98%)		 Doherty Ryan 17.80%
Lenihan 51.56%
Margin -33.77%
From 69.36% 		Doherty Ryan 34.63%
Higgins 47.39%
Margin -12.76%
From 82.01% 		Doherty Ryan 35.48%
Burton 45.32%
Margin -9.84%
From 80.81% 		Doherty Ryan 37.34%
Terry 38.46%
Margin -1.12%
From 75.80% 		Doherty Ryan 42.32%
Mc Donald 25.65%
Margin 16.66%
From 67.97% 		Doherty Ryan 36.29%
Morrissey 33.43%
Margin 2.86%
From 69.71% 		.. Doherty Ryan 42.46%
Bonnie 25.60%
Margin 16.86%
From 68.06% 		Doherty Ryan 48.12%
Smyth 6.85%
Margin 41.26%
From 54.97%
Bonnie
Robert
G.P.
2.49% (39.60%)		 Bonnie 22.36%
Lenihan 56.12%
Margin -33.75%
From 78.48% 		Bonnie 17.28%
Higgins 52.21%
Margin -34.94%
From 69.49% 		Bonnie 16.71%
Burton 52.40%
Margin -35.69%
From 69.11% 		Bonnie 21.86%
Terry 43.46%
Margin -21.60%
From 65.33% 		Bonnie 28.09%
Mc Donald 28.63%
Margin -0.54%
From 56.73% 		Bonnie 23.35%
Morrissey 41.94%
Margin -18.59%
From 65.29% 		Bonnie 25.60%
Doherty Ryan 42.46%
Margin -16.86%
From 68.06% 		.. Bonnie 36.84%
Smyth 5.90%
Margin 30.94%
From 42.73%
Smyth
John Thomas
C.C. CSP
0.45% (15.58%)		 Smyth 6.11%
Lenihan 61.10%
Margin -54.99%
From 67.22% 		Smyth 4.47%
Higgins 58.09%
Margin -53.62%
From 62.56% 		Smyth 4.55%
Burton 58.29%
Margin -53.74%
From 62.84% 		Smyth 6.11%
Terry 49.91%
Margin -43.80%
From 56.02% 		Smyth 8.91%
Mc Donald 34.44%
Margin -25.54%
From 43.35% 		Smyth 5.49%
Morrissey 49.22%
Margin -43.73%
From 54.71% 		Smyth 6.85%
Doherty Ryan 48.12%
Margin -41.26%
From 54.97% 		Smyth 5.90%
Bonnie 36.84%
Margin -30.94%
From 42.73% 		..

Interesting as these figures are, it is important to remember that they were produced by an electronic system without a proper audit trail. In any event, it is unlikely that ballot files such as these will be made publicly available again. The fact that voters can easily generate a unique ballot using STV (or Condorcet) means that the ballot files cannot be published without significantly diminishing the secrecy of the ballot. Had electronic voting gone ahead for last year's European and Local elections, the ballot files would not have been published in full.
© Ciaran Quinn, Dublin - last updated on 14th January 2005